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Moscow News
Friday, February 4, 2005
http://www.mosnews.com/money/2005/02/04/currencybasket.shtml
Russia's central bank said on Friday it had begun targeting the
ruble's nominal exchange rate against the euro as well as the dollar,
the Reuters news agency reports. The shift is meant to bring currency
policy more in line with trade flows.
The Bank of Russia said in a statement it had begun targeting a dual
currency basket -- made up of 90 U.S. cents and 10 euro cents -- as
of Feb. 1 and would gradually raise the weighting of euros.
"Increases of the weighting of the euro in the twin currency basket,
to a level appropriate for the task of exchange rate policy, will
take place step-by-step as market players adapt," the statement said.
The announcement completes an informal shift undertaken by the
central bank last year, when it was forced by market appreciation
pressures to abandon a de facto nominal peg of the ruble to the
dollar and allow it to rise.
The greenback's weakness on global currency markets, as well as
Russia's oil-driven current account surplus, have led central bankers
to say they were looking more at the euro as a guide to day-to-day
exchange rate targeting.
The central bank said it would continue its "managed" float of the
ruble -- policy jargon for market intervention -- to smooth out
excessive volatility and maintain the stability of the ruble.
Dealers said the statement triggered dollar selling on the local
currency market. One said the policy shift would help stop the ruble
being buffeted by sharp euro-dollar moves, although other dealers
remained at a loss over the practical impact.
"We still don't really understand what it means," said one.
The new twin basket applies to the nominal exchange rate of the ruble.
Russia's central bank also targets the real effective exchange rate
of the ruble, adjusted for inflation against a trade-weighted basket
of currencies, as a benchmark to measure economic competitiveness.
It was also not immediately clear whether the new twin nominal basket
would lead Russia to raise the weighting of euros in its gold and
foreign exchange reserves, which hit an all-time high of $128.3
billion as of Jan. 28.
Russia's reserves are the sixth largest in the world -- and the
largest outside Asia -- and any news on whether the share of euros
may rise is enough to move the euro-dollar exchange rate, dealers say.
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