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Alasdair Macleod: Is gold about to take off?
By Alasdair Macleod
Head of Research, GoldMoney, Toronto
via Schiff Gold, White Plains, New York
Thursday, November 16, 2023
The technical position for gold is looking very positive for higher prices. But technical analysis should be backed by fundamentals.
To a large extent fundamentals are in the eye of the beholder, whose opinions in any situation can vary from positive to negative and everything in between. But even for the economic optimists, there are gathering clouds on the horizon likely to continue undermining the global economic outlook, the dollar, and all financial asset values. Fiat currencies are being downgraded relative to real money, which is gold.
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Current thinking is that inflation is a diminishing problem and that the interest rate spike is over. In this article I point out where inflation expectations err and the mistake of believing that interest rate control is the solution.
It follows therefore that G-7 debt traps are a more serious problem than generally realized. Further, China and Russia are aware of the likely impact of current events on G-7 currencies and this is why they have accumulated hidden gold reserves.
In short, we face a transition between failing fiat and emerging gold-backed currencies, which might explain why gold's technical position looks so positive. ...
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