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Alasdair Macleod: The government funding challenges ahead
By Alasdair Macleod
GoldMoney, Toronto
Thursday, October 7, 2021
This article looks at the Federal Reserve’s funding challenges in the new fiscal year for the United States government, which commenced on 1 October.
There are three categories of buyers for U.S. federal debt: the financial and non-financial private sector, foreigners, and the Fed. The banks in the financial sector have limited capacity to expand bank credit, and U.S. consumers are being encouraged to spend, not save.
... Dispatch continues below ...
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Except for a few governments, foreigners are already reducing their proportion of outstanding U.S. federal debt.
That leaves the Fed. But the Fed recently committed to taper "quantitative easing," and it cannot be seen to directly monetize government debt.
That is one aspect of the problem. Another is the impending rise in interest rates, related to non-transient, runaway price inflation. Funding any term debt in a rising interest rate environment is going to be considerably more difficult than when the underlying trend is for falling yields.
There is the additional risk that foreigners overloaded with dollars and dollar-denominated financial assets are more likely to become sellers.
Not only are foreigners overloaded with dollars and financial assets, but with bond yields rising and stock prices falling, foreigners for whom over-exposure to dollars is a speculative position going wrong will undoubtedly liquidate dollar assets and dollars. If not buying their own national currencies, they instead will stockpile commodities and energy for production, and precious metals as currency hedges.
The Fed will be faced with a bad choice: protect financial asset values and not the dollar, or protect the dollar irrespective of the consequences for financial asset values. And the federal government’s deficit must be funded.
The likely compromise of these conflicting objectives leads to the risk of failing to achieve any of them.
Other major central banks face a similar quandary. Funding ballooning government deficits is about to get more difficult everywhere. ...
... For the remainder of the analysis:
https://www.goldmoney.com/research/goldmoney-insights/the-funding-challenges-ahead?gmrefcode=gata
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Toast to a free gold market
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Wine carrying the label of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, cases of which were awarded to three lucky donors in GATA's recent fundraising campaign, are now available for purchase by the case from Fay J Winery LLC in Texarkana, Texas. Each case has 12 bottles and the cost is $240, which includes shipping via Federal Express.
Here's what the bottles look like:
http://www.gata.org/files/GATA-4-wine-bottles.jpg
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GATA will receive a commission on each case of GATA-label wine sold. So if you like wine and buy it anyway, why not buy it in a way that supports our work to achieve free and transparent markets in the monetary metals?
To order a case of GATA-label wine, please e-mail Fay J Winery at: bagman1236@aol.com
* * *
Support GATA by purchasing
Stuart Englert's "Rigged"
"Rigged" is a concise explanation of government's currency market rigging policy and extensively credits GATA's work exposing it. Ten percent of sales proceeds are contributed to GATA. Buy a copy for $14.99 through Amazon --
-- or for an additional $3 and a penny buy an autographed copy from Englert himself by contacting him at srenglert@comcast.net.
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Help keep GATA going:
GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:
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* * *
Join GATA here:
New Orleans Investment Conference
Hilton New Orleans Riverside Hotel
2 Poydras St., New Orleans, Louisiana
Tuesday-Friday, October 19-22, 2021
https://neworleansconference.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/NOIC2021_Powell.html
* * *
Toast to a free gold market
with great GATA-label wine
Wine carrying the label of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, cases of which were awarded to three lucky donors in GATA's recent fundraising campaign, are now available for purchase by the case from Fay J Winery LLC in Texarkana, Texas. Each case has 12 bottles and the cost is $240, which includes shipping via Federal Express.
Here's what the bottles look like:
http://www.gata.org/files/GATA-4-wine-bottles.jpg
Buyers can compose their case by choosing as many as four varietals from the list here:
http://www.gata.org/files/FayJWineryVarietals.jpg
GATA will receive a commission on each case of GATA-label wine sold. So if you like wine and buy it anyway, why not buy it in a way that supports our work to achieve free and transparent markets in the monetary metals?
To order a case of GATA-label wine, please e-mail Fay J Winery at bagman1236@aol.com.
* * *
Support GATA by purchasing
Stuart Englert's "Rigged"
"Rigged" is a concise explanation of government's currency market rigging policy and extensively credits GATA's work exposing it. Ten percent of sales proceeds are contributed to GATA. Buy a copy for $14.99 through Amazon --
-- or for an additional $3 and a penny buy an autographed copy from Englert himself by contacting him at srenglert@comcast.net.
* * *
Help keep GATA going:
GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:
To contribute to GATA, please visit:
