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Jan Nieuwenhuijs: Can gold reach $16,000?

Section: Daily Dispatches

By Jan Nieuwenhuijs
Money Metals Exchange, Eagle, Idaho
Monday, April 28, 2025

As we are in the final stages of a debt cycle that is causing gold to skyrocket, the question arises: How high can gold go?

Comparing the current bull run to the previous two points to a gold run as high as $16,000 per ounce.

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I typically analyze the gold price through a framework of how gold relates to "credit assets" (national currencies, debt securities, equity, etc.). Simplified, trends in the ratio between gold and credit assets tell us where we are in a debt cycle, and where we are in a debt cycle reveals in what direction the gold price is heading.

In an economic boom, capital flows into credit assets (debt), and the gold price stalls. When markets exhibit excessive confidence in credit, financial bubbles tend to form.

When the bubbles pop, investors flock to gold until a new equilibrium is established in the financial system between money without counterparty risk (gold) and assets with counterparty risk (credit). ...

... For the remainder of the analysis:

https://www.moneymetals.com/news/2025/04/28/can-gold-reach-16000-004021

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