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Even after rate hike, Fed will probably keep rates unusually low for years

Section: Daily Dispatches

By Matthew Boesler
Bloomberg News
Monday, November 23, 2015

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates next month, a move that some worry would make it harder for the central bank to achieve its goal of 2 percent inflation.

Wall Street says worry not: A newly released survey of the nation's biggest bond dealers suggests Fed policy will be easy for years, even after a series of rate hikes.

The results show that primary dealers believe the neutral rate -- the borrowing cost, adjusted for inflation, that keeps the economy at full employment with stable prices -- is currently around zero, and will rise more or less in a straight line to 1.5 percent by the end of 2018.

Compare that with the Fed's own projections of where interest rates will be (adjusted for projected inflation) over the next few years. The forecasted path of interest rates will still be lower than the neutral rate through 2018. ...

... For the remainder of the report:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-11-23/even-after-a-rate-hike...



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